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Monday, November 3, 2008

Obama Supporter Anxiety

By: Ginia Sweeney at 12:55 pm

xanax
It’s not an uncommon affliction, judging from all the news coverage. Despite, and perhaps because of, all the overwhelmingly positive predictions floating around, I am growing more and more worried. It seems improbable that Obama could not win, but what if? My brother went out and bought champagne this morning; I cringed. How premature!

I look at the numbers, over and over again. Ok, five-thirty-eight says that Obama wins in 96.3% of all situations. Chuck Todd says that McCain will still lose even if he wins all toss-up states. I make some phone calls for Barack: yesterday, I called North Carolina voters, and–with the exception of the grumpy old lady (In a delightfully thick Southern drawl: “I always vote. But this year there’s no one to vote for.” Me: “Ma’am, I would urge you…” [click].)–all I managed to reach reassured me that they had already voted for Barack. (I wonder, though, where exactly those lists of voters come from.)

Still, the anxiety gnaws away at my sanity.

The most reassuring thing I have read so far is John Dickerson’s article in Slate If Obama Loses, Who Gets Blamed?. Dickerson writes:

An Obama loss would mean the majority of pundits, reporters, and analysts were wrong. Pollsters would have to find a new line of work, since Obama has been ahead in all 159 polls taken in the last six weeks. The massive crowds that have regularly turned out to see Obama would turn out to have meant nothing. This collective failure of elites would provide such a blast of schadenfreude that Republicans like Rush Limbaugh would be struck speechless (another historic first).

Dickerson’s cold, hard logic calms me down in the face of illogical (?) worrying. Now, all that is left to do is wait.

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Tags: Obama, decision '08, elections, slate

Saturday, November 1, 2008

In New Jersey, Not Much in the Way of Choice

By: Noah Baron at 6:35 pm

[With election day getting closer by the second, Noah Baron looks at America's sham of a democratic system. Especially worth a read for whatever green-voting New Jersyites happen to read this blog...]

I decided to come home this weekend to spend some time with my family, see some friends from home, and vote. When I arrived last night, I saw my sample ballot waiting for me. I eagerly opened it up, but only to be disappointed.

This election day, I intended, with the exception of President and Congress (my congressman is pretty awesome), to vote a straight Green Party ticket. But I ran into a problem. The only Green candidate running was Cynthia McKinney, for President. For Sheriff and Board of Chosen Freeholders, the only candidates were Democrats and Republicans. In fact, for one of the Freeholder races (there are three), the Republicans didn’t even run a candidate.

I found this all profoundly disturbing, but I was not to be deterred. This morning, I began research the various candidates, starting with those for US Senate.

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Tags: democracy, elections, fear and loathing, new jersey, third parties

Monday, October 27, 2008

Change, Service and Plumbing

By: Eli Katz at 10:19 am

I had originally written this last week and decided to wait to see if the situation had changed. I realize that it was naïve but I wanted to hope. The only change I felt was Joe the plumber’s possible run for congress. Hell, he can’t do any more damage than the rest of them.

It’s a week until the election and I’m still undecided. I very freely admit that while most people on this campus have made up their mind, I am still trying to weigh the issues and make an informed decision. After catching up on this week’s news, I think I’ve finally had enough. It’s hard enough to choose when you fall right in the middle of the candidates view points but it’s compounded when the most debated piece of the election this week was Joe the plumber. I’ve done my best to watch the debates, visit their websites and read what people have to say about their position (which is biased at best).

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Tags: elections

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Falling Numbers and Dying Hope

By: Noah Baron at 12:27 pm

[Endorsements are rolling in for Barack Obama. Tonight, Noah Baron looks at the effects of Colin Powell's recent Obama endorsement]

So in the past week Obama’s lead has fallen by 3.4 points (8.2% to 4.8%). I’ve found this both extremely disturbing (McCain’s attack ads have been both despicable and nonsensical) and baffling. At first I thought that the boost as a result of Obama’s above-average performance in the last debate, combined with the spin from his nailing all three debates, would land him some extra points in the polls. Unfortunately, the requisite number of days have passed and there has been no such boost.

Two nights ago, Obama receieved an endorsement from Colin Powell. But not only was this an endorsement — it was an unequivocal endorsement. An unequivocal endorsement from a former member of the Bush administration, a highly regarded former military official, and someone with 80+% approval ratings. According to polling data, around 12% said that they would be more likely to vote for whomever he endorses.

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Tags: decision '08, elections

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Today in Opinion: First Newspaper Picked up at Age 12

By: Vesal Yazdi at 10:26 pm

The executive director of the College Republicans picked up her first paper when she was 12 years old! How cute! How early for the politically-inclined to start reading printed press! I marvel! This is the same girl I saw at the first presidential debate who was nodding her head at McCain’s every word (even if it wasn’t something to nod at) and shook her head and put her hands up in the air in frustration whenever Obama had something to say. Sometimes, the rest of the room found her erratic head movements more entertaining than the debate itself (although she somehow didn’t notice it… bit like McCain, right?).

The guest policies between the different undergraduate colleges is a public diary of who’s slept with who. For the sake of anonymity let’s have swipe-access between all four colleges.

Now this one’s a bit of tear-jerker–if you’re into the age-old story about the Dad who was never there. At least by the end of it, she recognizes that he’s not the stereotypical Dad-who-was-never-there. It is often the case that Daddy is working his ass off to get you through college.

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Tags: Republicans, Spec Opinion, absurdity, elections, fear and loathing, sex

Thursday, October 2, 2008

The Commentariat’s Offical VP Debate Drinking Game

By: Ginia Sweeney at 9:01 am

vp faceoff
Hope you’re as excited for tonight’s debate as I am. To add a little spice to the debate, follow the rules below, compiled with a little help from MIT’s The Tech. Please comment below if you have further suggestions!

Drink When Palin:
Says “Thanks but no thanks.”
Says “it’s my understanding”
Refers to the proximity between Russia and Alaska
Says the word “maverick”
Blinks! (drink 3 times)
Says “small town”
Calls herself a hockey mom
Implies that being the mayor of a small town better qualifies her for vice-president than community organizing
Says “crisis mode”
Says “second-guess” (two drinks if it is in reference to a pre-existing foreign policy, three drinks if it’s Israel)
Says “ya” instead of “you”
Is able to name a Supreme Court case that isn’t Rove v. Wade—2 drinks
Refers to choosing life, or making a decision to keep a child
Compares herself to Geraldine Ferraro (2 drinks)
Compares herself to Hillary Clinton (3 drinks)

If Joe Biden says, “Hillary Clinton is a friend of mine. Governor, you’re no Hillary Clinton,” take five drinks.
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Tags: Biden, Palin, debates, decision '08, elections, politics

Friday, June 6, 2008

“Not Worth a Bucket of Warm Piss”

By: Dov Friedman at 6:56 pm

That’s how John Nance Garner once described the Vice Presidency. Yet, somehow one of the most beloved games the media plays every four years is a mixture between 1) guess the nominees’ respective choices for VP and 2) think up pie-in-the-sky dream teams that are “unbeatable.” And to be honest, I don’t blame them: this is their version of the NCAA Tournament bracket. That being said, I’ll throw in my two cents anyway.

The truly amazing part of this whole process is that despite election after election to the contrary, people continue to believe that the magic to winning is in finding the perfect running mate. Ginia posted an interesting pro/con look at four pols being mentioned as potential running mates. I’d like to take a slightly different look at the same issue. Specifically, the ways in which a VP can and cannot boost the ticket.

Myth: A strategically chosen veep can deliver a home state or a region of the country.

People love to cite the 1960 election in which LBJ allegedly “delivered Texas.” Even if we grant this example—and it certainly is a disputed claim—it’s just about the only example. First, the only close elections have been in 1960, 1976, 2000, and 2004. Mondale in ’76 may have swung Minnesota, but Carter’s victory was decisive there. Gore may have helped in Tennessee in 1992, but Clinton beat Bush comfortably. Did Cabot Lodge help Nixon in ‘60? What about Bentsen’s boost to Dukakis in Texas in ’88? How did Edwards do in NC in 2004? A veep will very rarely swing an election by helping in a home state, let alone in an entire region.

Fact: A vice presidential candidate’s policy agenda is virtually unknown to the country and thus inconsequential in the election.

Quick, name a policy proposal advocated by Spiro Agnew? Edmund Muskie? Lloyd Bentsen? Dan Quayle? Exactly. People want to know what the President will do if elected, and they want to be confident that in the case of tragedy, the veep won’t screw it up.

A running mate CAN help compensate for perceived weaknesses in the Presidential candidate. Most people focus on the top of the ticket and the strengths and weaknesses of each candidate. A well known veep candidate with some generally acknowledged strengths can compensate well for a candidate’s weaknesses.

So what are Obama’s weaknesses? Well he’s the first candidate since 1960 to be unseasoned both in governmental management (i.e. no gubernatorial experience) AND in foreign policy chops (i.e. first term senator). But Obama’s main strength is that people perceive him as less partisan than most politicians and also as a uniter. With that in mind, here are a few names Ginia did not mention who should be considered:

Mark Warner – Sure, he’s running for (and likely to win) a Virginia Senate seat currently held by retiring Republican John Warner (no relation). But he also was an exceptionally popular governor who passed a necessary tax increase through a heavily Republican state legislature. Warner reasoned and compromised with lawmakers to create a bipartisan bill. If that doesn’t fit Obama’s alleged message of “change” than I don’t know what does. Problems: aforementioned Senate seat; a wife who hates the limelight.

Ted Strickland – Extremely popular Governor of Ohio. From Appalachia, and very comfortable talking about, and backing up talk of, family values and religion. A progressive who appeals to heartland moderates and liberal Republicans. Problems: Short on experience, and only two years into the governorship. Would it be prudent to jump to the national stage so soon especially with another green candidate?

Kathleen Sebelius – Popular Governor of Kansas, in the middle of her second term, and long on managerial experience; she appeals to constituents despite being decidedly and openly pro-choice. She must be doing something right. Problems: I hate identity politics, BUT, a black man running with a woman might just be too much for some Americans to handle at this point.

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Tags: Obama, decision '08, elections, politics

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Some Notes From the Campaign Trail

By: Meghan Mannion at 6:00 pm

Hello all!

I think I am officially safe to comment on my experiences volunteering for the Obama campaign yesterday, since I am no longer in a campaign office.

My day was spent mostly in the great state of Pennsylvania, whose citizens finally had their chance to rock the vote. The day got off to a slow start, as I got a little lost trying to navigate the Philadelphia SEPTA rails. The ‘burbs were full of vibrant volunteers, but my laptop was not working…. so I wasn’t able to canvas too effectively. Many apologies to the kind women who had to drive me back to a campaign office so I could use a computer. Nevertheless, phone-banking was a lot of fun! I wasn’t able to reach too many people at home, but I hope they were still able to check their answering machines before the polls closed.

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Tags: Obama, elections

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

E-Board Deems Adequate Rebuttal Inadequate…Or Something

By: Raphael Pope-Sussman at 2:38 am

I felt compelled to note an amusing line in this staff editorial:

“Further, whether or not Experience’s presidential candidate George Krebs took more credit than he should have for the completion of the off-campus Flex project, he has not adequately rebutted the suggestion that he did.”

If I understand this statement correctly, Krebs may or may not have made an unsubstantiated claim, but he has failed to properly address the claim that his claim was unsubstantiated. So, the editorial took a little joyride into the world of spin. It’s trivial silliness, but it reminded me of the not-so-trivial silliness inflicted on the national consciousness over another dubious (or not-so-dubious) political claim—that Al Gore took credit for inventing the Internet. I took the liberty of replacing a few nouns, and came up with this:

“Further, whether or not Democratic presidential candidate Al Gore took more credit than he should have for the creation of the internet , he has not adequately rebutted the suggestion that he did.”

Focus on the facts. If a candidate lacks integrity, criticize him for lacking integrity. Don’t criticize him for his failure to defend his integrity against attacks. That serves no purpose.

Thankfully, CCSC elections do not have the potential to plunge us into an endless quagmire of partisan hackery, corruption, and criminal incompetence. But still, let’s leave the spin to politicians, not journalists.

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Tags: absurdity, elections, hackery

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Opposites Attack: Breaking Down the CCSC Presidential Candidates

By: Armin Rosen at 11:30 am

Through no fault of the candidates themselves, this year’s CCSC presidential campaign just screams Bush-Kerry. While there are plenty of Columbia students who probably remember that election as a near-metaphysical clash of good and evil, I remember it most for the candidates’ delightfully mismatched accents: Kerry’s aristocratic Massachusetts drawl versus Bush’s skeet-shooting, pickup-driving Texas twang (of course Bush was born in Connecticut, and came from every bit as populist a background as his Francophiliac opponent. But I digress). Inevitably it’s the shallowest and most superficial of differences that endure, and the one that stuck with me after a day of interviewing the CCSC candidates had to do with the circumstances under which we spoke.

We (myself and Commentariat staffer Meghan Mannion) talked to Connect Columbia presidential candidate Alidad Damooei in the second floor lounge of Beta’s palatial 114th St. brownstone. The candidate was nonplussed about the crucial three days ahead of him, and he spent a generous hour and a half with us, much of it dedicated to explaining the intricacies of Columbian student government.

When we met Krebs at around six that evening, he was celebrating the CQA’s endorsement of him for president, and could talk for an energetic twenty minutes before leaving for a mid-afternoon dormstorm. We pushed the rest of the interview back until Krebs was finished with a late-night campaign run and strategy session. We met with a still-wired Krebs at around two in the morning.

But the CCSC contest is more than a battle of personality types, and the student body’s choice will have as much to do with the candidates’ divergent philosohphies on student government as it will with their radically different leadership styles.

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Tags: CCSC, decision '08, elections

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